Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000763 0.000871 0.000985 0.001114 0.001256 0.001408 0.001581
2025-03-23 0.000588 0.000736 0.000904 0.001106 0.001342 0.001608 0.001928
2025-03-30 0.000498 0.000663 0.000859 0.001106 0.001406 0.001754 0.002186
2025-04-06 0.000423 0.000597 0.000813 0.001094 0.001447 0.001869 0.002407
2025-04-13 0.000361 0.000538 0.000766 0.001073 0.001470 0.001957 0.002591
2025-04-20 0.000327 0.000512 0.000757 0.001096 0.001545 0.002108 0.002854
2025-04-27 0.000297 0.000485 0.000743 0.001111 0.001608 0.002242 0.003098
2025-05-04 0.000262 0.000448 0.000713 0.001099 0.001632 0.002326 0.003278
2025-05-11 0.000229 0.000412 0.000679 0.001079 0.001644 0.002393 0.003434
2025-05-18 0.000211 0.000395 0.000671 0.001093 0.001701 0.002518 0.003671
2025-05-25 0.000191 0.000373 0.000655 0.001095 0.001740 0.002619 0.003875
2025-06-01 0.000166 0.000340 0.000618 0.001064 0.001729 0.002651 0.003985
2025-06-08 0.000144 0.000310 0.000584 0.001034 0.001720 0.002686 0.004102
2025-06-15 0.000129 0.000292 0.000568 0.001032 0.001751 0.002777 0.004298
2025-06-22 0.000117 0.000276 0.000554 0.001030 0.001782 0.002868 0.004496
2025-06-29 0.000104 0.000258 0.000534 0.001020 0.001797 0.002936 0.004662
2025-07-06 0.000091 0.000238 0.000510 0.001000 0.001797 0.002981 0.004794
2025-07-13 0.000086 0.000233 0.000512 0.001021 0.001862 0.003123 0.005069
2025-07-20 0.000080 0.000226 0.000509 0.001035 0.001915 0.003247 0.005320
2025-07-27 0.000071 0.000211 0.000492 0.001023 0.001927 0.003309 0.005480
2025-08-03 0.000063 0.000196 0.000472 0.001005 0.001926 0.003352 0.005612
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000191 0.000469 0.001019 0.001977 0.003475 0.005865
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000182 0.000461 0.001020 0.002009 0.003568 0.006075